Ever since Jeb established an “I’m Thinking About Running for President Committee” (translation to English: I’m running for president) a week or so back, the conventional wisdom, whooped up by the chatterati and the various great mentioners, is that this latest Bush is a lock for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. They also say he’s that party’s best hope for reclaiming 1600. He’s probably neither.
The man who would be Bush III was governor of Florida from January of 1999 to January of 2007. He was a competent, hands-on executive who did many things conservatives find simpatico. With the help of a Republican legislature, he cut taxes to the tune of about $20 billion over his two terms. He helped install higher standards in K-12 education and expanded educational choice. During the eight hurricanes that struck Florida during Bush’s governorship, he orchestrated competent and helpful responses on the part of the state’s emergency agencies.
For all these accomplishments, Jeb Bush left office with high approval ratings. And is still well thought of by a significant fraction of Floridians. So far so good. For a guy who would like to be president, it does no harm to have a successful executive record in what was then the fourth largest state in the nation, now third, and a fair chance of winning Florida’s 29 electoral votes. (In the last two presidential cycles Florida went narrowly to Caesar Obamus.)
But hang on, Jeb Bush also carries considerable political baggage, and is not liked by a fair chunk of the Republican base. The charges and specifications:
Many conservatives don’t trust Bush on immigration. There’s no reason for them to. …
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