Seems that the start-up rate is lagging way behind now.
Also, the new startup rate started to lag under the last two years of the Geo. W. Bush period when the was the Democrat majority in both houses of congress. m/r
Is the U.S. Startup Economy Failing? ~ I, Cringely
September 20th, 2012 Robert X. Cringlely
As I’ve written here many times before, small companies and especially new companies are what create nearly all of the net new jobs in America, yet a
new study released last week by the Hudson Institute suggests the rate of job formation by new firms is down dramatically in recent years, from an average of 11 new startup jobs per 1000 workers at a peak in 2006 down to 7.8 new startup jobs per 1000 workers in 2011 —
a 29 percent decline. So is the startup economy losing its oomph and should we be worried? No the startup economy isn’t losing its oomph but yes, it’s time to worry.
The Hudson Institute study was written by the think tank’s chief economist Tim Kane, who is not only a friend to this column he is a friend to all of you since he is a frequent reader and commenter right here. Tim notes with concern this downward trend in startup job formation but his study doesn’t attempt to explain it, leaving that for the future. He’s not above, however, mentioning the likely negative impact of increased regulation, especially from the impending Affordable Care Act, AKA Obamacare.
There’s a lot to think about here and a lot of good research yet to be done, but I know more startup founders than the average Joe and I don’t think many of the founders I know were factoring Obamacare, with its 2014 inception date, into their 2011 business decisions.
There are, I think, two much more significant effects being felt here. One is the nature of job formation has been evolving over time and labor statistics haven’t yet evolved to keep pace. The other effect is the simple unavailability of credit despite low interest rates.
-see above link for the rest-
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